Saturday, August 07, 2010

Now what?

I am very torn here, but I feel like we still see 1150 area on S & P before we take any real big downturns, if then. I'm not holding much of anything, so just looking for good entries and opps regardless. Very interesting market here, everything says we should go down, even sentiment to a large extent, and yet we continue to defy gravity. Yes, we were down Friday off the putrid job #s, but down 20 points after being down over 100 when those #s were G-d awful is a pretty big victory for the Bullish camp. Still liking CRM into (not through) those August 19th earnings and would look for an entry on RIG long as I think it can see higher. I don't own any now, but if it dips back down to $50ish I'll probably poke it long. In the meantime, I do own (50) CRM calls and will see what shakes out.

In the meantime, big shoutout to my oldest daughter Joelle who made her acting/singing debut last night and I must say that life is pretty amazing when you watch your youngest daughter ask your oldest for her autograph!

I mean, how much better does it get then that? It's also great when you can block out all the rubbish and BS in the world and in each of our lives and focus on the task at hand. I did this when I was younger and studying some Eastern spiritual principals, just not watch the news or read the paper for a month and you realize how lucky you are. So much to be grateful for. It's a good thing to keep that first and foremost, front and center, the noise is just that - noise and it'll wait.

Wanted to update for those that have donated and hopefully those that will donate to the Haiti project. It's been a total B*t*h getting any help from the local government so we reached out to Sean Penn's people and it looks like there's some movement. I'm very hopeful that the school will be under construction shortly. It's such a mess down there and such chaos. Again, it's pretty cool living the way we do here. I can't imagine how devastating it must be to go through some of the things people around the globe have to put up with at times (or sometimes all the time).

Life is very good indeed.

Off to see night #2 of the best performance in the world going on tonight (yes, I'm a tad biased). My youngest needs to collect a few more autographs from the rest of the cast so we gotta stay.

In the meantime, keep rockin' and let's see what shakes, I'll be on vacation and completely out of commish (and the country) for about 3 weeks to refresh and reload and relax. Yes, that's 3 R's and not 2. Whilst away I plan on being completely cash and not trading. In fact, where we're going for part of it I'm told there's little or no internet baby. So...if I don't get back to ya, it just means I ain't gettin' the message.

I'll be back early September and will catch ya all on the other side...

Keep rulin' and Scott will be here, along with the rest of the gang. If you need to reach someone, feel free to email Scott@trendfund.com, or Ilene@trendfund.com and they will be happy to help.

Thanks for all the early Bday wishes, I'd love to be celebrating my 30th, but that happened a while ago, so I'll settle for #47.

Rock and RULE!

See ya on the other side -

Michael "Waxie" Parness
waxie@trendfund.com

*If you are interested in donating ANYTHING for the Haiti project, please email; yaffa_holmes@gmail.com and she'll give you info on where to send check or make a wire. YES, 100000000000% of all monies goes directly to charity always. The Trend Fund Foundation is a 501C-3 and has donated a ton of money to various children's causes. I'm very proud of the causes we've supported and beleive that giving is selfish because spiritually you'll get back a whole lot more anyway. Rock on and anything you can give is appreciated it. The 501C-3 makes all donations 100% deductible and we're now able to accept credit card donations. Thanks!

Thursday, August 05, 2010

Jobs,jobs,jobs...

The jobs # tommorrow is all that matters now, babies. I posted on my Facebook page (Michael "Waxie" Parness please join) that I have a sneaky suspicion the #s are going to come out better then expected, maybe much better. Having said that, I obviously have as much info as everyone else. Just seems that with the elections upcoming it will be very good for the sitting party to be able to say we're in a stable recovery, hang in there everyone. Whether that's true, and I hope it is, is besides the point, but the market has rallied very hard to get where we are, even after a couple down days we're still right at the breakout to 1150 or new yearly highs even point if we get a sense that things are actually REALLY getting better.

It should be very interesting then to see what the # is, and then see market reaction. It's impossible to "play" as anything is a guess at this point but if I had to lean, I'd lean LONG and STRONG for sure...

Meanwhile, move should be dynamic and violent either way unless #s come in exactly where they are projected to be, then we should get an initial move and then I suspect a pretty flat bias.

Keep in mind we typically have a positive bias into the FOMC meeting anyway, and thats next week, so again I'd have to lean long, BUT it's a crapshoot til, well,,,til it's not...

Keep rockin' and rollin', more great stuff comin' soon. We're opening the Forex site shortly, and please keep those emails coming to; ilene@trendfund.com to get your FREE 1st newsletter.

Rock and roll, rock and roll...

Michael "Waxie" Parness

FREE FOREX NEWSLETTER

We're ready to roll out our new FOREX service. If you wish to receive our 1st Newsletter that will introduce our new service, it should be ready to be emailed out in about 10 days.

Please email; ilene@trendfund.com and get put on our email list, the newsletter is 100% free, no credit card necessary, no fuss, no muss.

Over the years we've had a mass amount of clients interested in learning more about trading FOREX (Currency markets) and it's time for us to offer it to you.

So, with that in mind, Scott Littlefield and I are working on our 1st issue of the newsletter.

Just email; ilene@trendfund.com and get on our list for the FREE 1st issue. All we need is a valid email address, your name, address and phone #. No credit card necessary. The idea is to give you an introduction to FOREX and to what we plan on doing from a traders perspective.

Thanks and as always, we look forward to rolling out the BEST service of all FOREX services out there.

Rock on...and RULE!

Michael "Waxie" Parness
waxie@trendfund.com

Wednesday, August 04, 2010

Market continues to plow higher...Workshop in Florida Monday...

Wall of worry is being climbed over at this point. S & P now above 1125, that 1150 market is looking tasty. Interesting split market as Banks and Home Builders continue to lag badly and yet Tech and select issues just plow higher and higher.

Earnings runners still rocking, and if you are picking your spots you are doing pretty darn good. You're doing even better if you had PCLN over earnings (we didn't, fyi - though wish we did!).

DNDN looks higher, this stock reminds me a lot of the former IMCL in that it would dip on "bad" news and then rocket higher and higher until it got bought out. My suspicion is that DNDN gets taken out so I think it has to be on your radar both ways. I own 50 calls on it currently, had 25 into today and added 25 today, for full disclosure sake. So, yes, I did indeed have a very nice day...

I'm doing a "1 on 1" intensive 1 day workshop this coming Monday in West Palm Beach Florida. If you are interested in more info email me and I'll get you details. Email me; waxie@trendfund.com

Let's keep plowing ahead, life is freakin' beautiful babies and it's all GRAND! We're moving ahead on all cylinders and so is the market. Gotta love the summer, I sure do.

Heading out to free some Butterflies with my beutiful daughter. Who'd a thought that a soon-to-be 47 year old 6'4" dude from Queens would be freeing Buttleflies and sharing about it when I was growing up? Not I. And, hence the beauty of life.

We're releasing some soon to be finished DVD's that are brand new shortly, stay tuned. 2010 is turning into a GREAT YEAR, rock on...

RULE

Michael "Waxie" Parness

Tuesday, August 03, 2010

Sometimes its better to be lucky then good...

It's easier for me to post on Facebook, so I post there more often, if you wish to follow me just join my fan page it's listed under; Michael "Waxie" Parness

Today was a total chop fest, but the market until it breaks below that recent breakout of about 1110 area is trading like it wants to go higher. We'll see, tomorrow should be a pivot day. FOMC coming up next week, so I suspect we'll chop around and stay around where we are, with an upside top around 1150 on the S & P and downside risk to about 1100, though again more then likely we'll hold that 1110 area unless news that sucks comes down the pike. So, I'd stick to buying the dip.

Today we also got very lucky. I had called CTSH few days ago for a run into earnings and we were up on it, but I had it listed as reporting earnings TODAY AFTER the close so I got a bunch of people thanking me for the play. It's nice to get lucky once in a while. The calls I think went about 200+% and I woke up and was up a nice little ka-chingo, but for the record, I rarely hold over earnings and the general rule is to sell before earnings, which was the plan.

Trading isn't a perfect system and neither is luck, I've had that happen the other way a few times in my career as well. But, its nice when you catch a little luck going your way.

A couple months ago we had DNDN calls and they went BONKERS for us, a HUGE gainer (I think it was about 500% but don't hold me to it) and the FDA approval came early and gave us a lot of the gains. I think we were up about 100% going into that, but much of the gains came after. I remember last year getting cracked on a trade involving a little company, CHTP when the same thing happened, but it went against us. That's why we try to trade using good money management skills and not try to rely too much on "news" events.

I wanted to bring it up because the "norm" plan wise is to not take that trade through earnings, it just so happens that the earnings date was wrongly posted on the calendar.

In the meantime, watch CRM for a run into earnings on the 19th, thats one I own some calls on (25 of them) and think the trend should be higher into earnings. I'm a buye ron pullbacks. I think we entered around $97 and its $101, but regardless if we pull in thats one to keep an eye on.

On August 13th we have a VERY special guest doing a class with us. Stay tuned for more details, but we are making some amazing partnerships and there are soon to be some very major announcements. If you are interested in the class its from 8:30 am EST to 11:00 am EST on Friday, August 13th...stay tuned...email me; waxie@trendfund.com

Rock on...

Michael "Waxie" Parness

Monday, July 12, 2010

Earnings Season...

AA started off the 2nd quarter earnings with a beat which "shocked" the street. That's because expectations have been so low that there are so many shorts leaning on the dang stock.

Having said that, it seems unlikely that AA will close much higher then where it was after hours, which was about $11.25, and I wouldn't be shocked to see the stock close red, or close to it.

The market is foward looking and AA and other stocks in that sector have been beat to death (or at least senseless) because of an anticipated worldwide slowdown. China amongst the biggest "alleged" culprit.

The stock futures gapped pretty stoutly after hours and looked headed a lot higher, with Booyahhead proclaiming "its time to get bullish".

Well, as I write this the futures are gapping down about 3 points so the key here will not be whether stocks beat estimates, because that's pretty much a given. The key therefore is how stocks hold up AFTER they beat. Does anyone believe that buying stocks here is the right move? I don't, but I'm not an investor and I don't fool that easy, I hope. And, I don't count, so really, are investors going to take this earnings season seriously enough to jump in, or do they wait for better entry points.

I think we should be looking day to day at stocks that have earnings upcoming in a hit and run trading plan. I am long INTC the last two days, and GE and GOOG and AAPL as well (AAPL a bit longer) and am up on all those positions (they are all options) but I've lightened up on the up moves as I don't want to be the last one holding the bag. I do think GOOG can see $500 into earnings Thursday, but we'll see soon enough. Watch next week earnings for clues to potential movers. I have a couple I'm giving to clients tomorrow after I see how the market reacts to the earnings beat by AA. I think we do get a further extension higher and should see 1100 S & P, but I'm not strong on that opinion at the moment.

That's the beauty of life and the market, everyone has an opinion, but the market is gonna do what it's got to do and we just try to hitch a ride...


See ya on the other side...RULE

Michael "waxie" Parness

Wednesday, June 16, 2010

Another SWEET day...

I LOVE THIS MARKET...knock on wood (always supersticious) this is a GREAT trading market, the TRENDS are really lining up and we are KILLIN' it...GAP FADE once again worked to perfection as we gapped down very nicely and then rushed higher and then late day rolled over again. Very interesting trading. Caught BP long off the open near $30 and bought a bunch of calls, sold most near the top. Very happy indeed. CSIQ off yesterday's call also did well most of the day til the breakdown. AAPL continues to play ahead, nothing apparently can stop it from assaulting what looks to be $275 area.

With Options Expiration coming up Friday it'll be interesting to see what level they pick to pin. Most expect 1100 to be where we get pinned, which leads me to think we'll do either 1090 (guess 1080 possible with a bigger drawdown but doesn't seem likely) or 1110 or 1120/1125 more likely in my view. I still have to lean long, there just aren't very many sellers unless news strikes and it just doesn't pay to buck the TREND of the market. Natural Gas pulled in a bit, but still looks much MUCH higher to me longer term. I sold my contracts last night near the $5.20 mark if I recall and traded some below $5.00 for that pop back above it. That late day drawdown definately hurt my day a bit, but still a rockin' day nonetheless. I'll take it anytime, baby.

OK, so let's watch where they try to pin us from here Friday on what stock. PIN ACTION is a VERY VERY strong trend and we need to respect it. That IPO tomorrow is interesting to me, I am going to do some research on it tonight and see if it makes sense to trade the dang thing.

On another note, I should have some full audited financials finally to showcase so stay tuned if you are interested.

I have more confidence in my trading right now then I've had in a very long time. I think this market is PRIME trader mode and I think YOU have to take advantage of that while it lasts...

If you're interested in a free trial, or finding out more, email me directly with your thoughts and the heading TRIAL and I will hook you up. In the meantime, more later for all, keep rockin'...


RULE

Michael "Waxie" Parness

EMAIL: waxie@trendfund.com

Tuesday, June 15, 2010

Rockin'...and we should be good to go, baring news...

Stick to the plan, dudes and dudesses and that is BUY THE DIPS, let the rest RIPS...or something like that.

I'm now clearly and cleanly in the overall BULLISH camp, though headline risk is very clear and dangerous, so buyer beware...but overall we should be buying dips here until proven wrong on that call. The market wants to run into this quarters earnings, at least for now. Of course, a couple bad earnings and we could be headed again down, but I get the feeling we ain't tanking so fast.

A gap down Wednesday should be buyable, at lesat for a trade, and energy still looks good here, with $75 support on Oil and my Natural Gas appearing to want to go a lot higher short and long term. If it can hold above $5 it should make its assault on $6...we shall see soon enough, I have some small cap Nat Gas stocks I'm looking at, if I'm ready to discuss you'll know where to find me...

In meantime, if anyone is interested in potentially partnering with me in a new infomercial idea (non-stock related), please email me - waxie@trendfund.com
I think its kick butt. Also, if you have an infomercial idea you'd like to discuss please email me same and we'll see what shakes. All ideas are strictly confidential.

Rock and RULE!!! We are SMOKIN' this market, folks, get on board the train!

www.trendfund.com

See ya on the other side,

Michael "Waxie" Parness